Happy Medium
Posted by kevin on October 21, 2014 under Foreclosure Blog | 
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A recent WSJ article indicated that Fannie and Freddie on one side and the major mortgage lenders on the other side are close to an agreement to lower standards to provide mortgages to borrowers with weak credit. The article meanders through many issues- downpayment reduction, mortgage buybacks, fraud, foreclosure, opening credit markets for low income borrowers.
Pre-2008, lending standards were so loose that you could get a mortgage if you had a pulse. Why? A variety of reasons but one reason was that mortgage originators and securitizers were dumping their loans on investors so they had little risk and made lots of money in fees and in selling mortgage backed securities. Of course, as the number of defaults increased, the house of cards collapsed and with it the US economy. We are still mopping up the mess with foreclosures continuing.
Now, the President is pushing the banks to make loans if not to anyone with a pulse, then to people with less than decent credit ratings. Pre-2008, these were called subprime loans. Ed DeMarco, the head of the FHFA which oversees Fannie and Freddie, resisted this and also principal reduction on mods (not good). Now, Mel Watt is in charge of FHFA and supposedly pushing President’s agenda. The problem is how far to you push opening credit- too little and you do not get the economic benefit of an expanded housing market; too much and you get the same problems that you had in 2008.
On the other side you have the banks. They are looking for a safe harbor to make questionable loans. HAMP 1 is based on PITI (principal, interest, taxes, insurance and association fees) of 31% of gross income. HAMP II takes us, for the most part, up to 42%. Would not be surprised if banks are looking for some safe harbor in the 45% range.
My experience in handling foreclosure cases for borrowers over the last 5 years is that 45% is on the road to disaster. When you factor in that taxes rise (especially in States like NJ) 45% can grow to 50% in no time. Is that where we want to be?
